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Retirement Withdrawal Calculator

How long will your portfolio last? Use the 4% rule (withdraw 4% of initial balance, adjust for inflation) or a fixed dollar amount. See a year-by-year projection.

Example: $1M at 4%, 6% return, 2.5% inflation

Years Until Depleted

52

Annual Withdrawal (Year 1)

$40,000

Monthly (Year 1)

$3,333.33

A $1,000,000 portfolio with 4% initial withdrawal ($40,000/year), 6% return, and 2.5% inflation lasts approximately 52 years.

Source: FinCalc server-rendered example using the same formulas as the interactive calculator.

Inputs

$

Results

Portfolio lasts approximately 52 years at the given withdrawal rate and return assumptions.

Years Until Depleted

52

Monthly Withdrawal (Year 1)

$3,333.33

Annual Withdrawal (Year 1)

$40,000

Effective Withdrawal Rate

4.00%

Projection (first 15 years)

YearStart BalanceWithdrawalEnd Balance
1$1,000,000$40,000$1,017,600
2$1,017,600$41,000$1,035,196
3$1,035,196$42,025$1,052,761.26
4$1,052,761.26$43,075.62$1,070,266.77
5$1,070,266.77$44,152.52$1,087,681.11
6$1,087,681.11$45,256.33$1,104,970.27
7$1,104,970.27$46,387.74$1,122,097.49
8$1,122,097.49$47,547.43$1,139,023.06
9$1,139,023.06$48,736.12$1,155,704.16
10$1,155,704.16$49,954.52$1,172,094.62
11$1,172,094.62$51,203.38$1,188,144.71
12$1,188,144.71$52,483.47$1,203,800.92
13$1,203,800.92$53,795.55$1,219,005.69
14$1,219,005.69$55,140.44$1,233,697.16
15$1,233,697.16$56,518.95$1,247,808.90

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The 4% Rule and Methodology

The Trinity Study showed that withdrawing 4% of your portfolio in year one, then adjusting that dollar amount for inflation each year, had a high success rate over 30-year retirements. We project your balance year by year: start balance minus withdrawal, plus growth. The portfolio is depleted when balance reaches zero.

Lower withdrawal rates (3–3.5%) improve safety for longer horizons. This calculator uses deterministic projections; actual returns vary, so treat results as planning estimates.

Sources

Data and assumptions align with official publications. For verification and current figures:

Frequently asked questions

What is the 4% rule?

The 4% rule (Trinity Study) suggests withdrawing 4% of your portfolio in year one, then adjusting that dollar amount for inflation each year. Historically this had a high success rate over 30 years. Many use 3–3.5% for longer retirements or more caution.

How long will my portfolio last?

It depends on your withdrawal rate, investment return, and inflation. At 4% initial withdrawal with 6% return and 2.5% inflation, a $1M portfolio often lasts 30+ years. Use the calculator to see a year-by-year projection for your assumptions.

Should I use a fixed dollar amount or percentage withdrawal?

The 4% rule uses a percentage of initial balance, inflated each year—predictable and historically sustainable. A fixed dollar amount is simpler but may deplete the portfolio sooner if returns are low. The calculator supports both.

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